Johan A. Elkink
research

Spatial econometrics

Publications

Samuel Brazys and Johan A. Elkink, "`Aid for Trade' Effectiveness? Micro-Level Evidence from Nepal", European Journal of Development Research, forthcoming.
Earlier version presented at the 11th Pan-European Conference of International Relations, Barcelona, September 13-16, 2017.
Diane Payne, Johan A. Elkink, Nial Friel, Thomas U. Grund, Tamara Hochstrasser, Pablo Lucas, Adrian Ottewill (eds.) (2019), Social Simulation for a Digital Society: Applications and Innovations in Computational Social Science. Cham: Springer. [book]
Including introduction "Social Simulation for a Digital Society: Introduction" (with Diane Payne and Thomas U. Grund).
Antonio Bubbico, Johan A. Elkink and Martin Okolikj (2017), "Quality of Government and Regional Competition: A Spatial Analysis of Subnational Regions in the European Union", European Journal of Political Research, 56(4), 887-911. [article]
Earlier version presented at the 54th Congress of the European Regional Science Association, St Petersburg, 2014.
Samuel Brazys, Johan A. Elkink and Gina Kelly (2017), "Bad neighbors? How co-located Chinese and World Bank development projects impact local corruption in Tanzania", Review of International Organizations, 12(2), 227-253. [article]
Earlier version: AidData Working Paper 26, 2016 [PDF]
Raffaella Calabrese, Johan A. Elkink and Paolo S. Guidici (2017), "Measuring bank contagion in Europe using binary spatial regression models", Journal of the Operational Research Society, 68(12), 1503-1511. [article]
Earlier version: University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management Working Papers 96, 2014. [PDF]
Raffaella Calabrese and Johan A. Elkink (2016), "Estimating binary spatial autoregressive models for rare events", Advances in Econometrics, 37, 147-168. [article]
Earlier version presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Washington DC, August 28-31, 2014 / Asian Political Methodology Conference, Taipei, January 9-10, 2015 [PDF] / Joint Sessions of Workshops, European Consortium of Political Research, Warsaw, March 30-April 2, 2015 / International Federation of Classification Societies Conference, Bologna, July 5-8, 2015.
Raffaella Calabrese and Johan A. Elkink (2014), "Estimators of binary spatial autoregressive models: A Monte Carlo study", Journal of Regional Science, 54(4), 664-687. [article] [appendix]
Earlier version: UCD Geary Working Paper WP2012/15 [PDF]

Working papers

Johan A. Elkink and Thomas U. Grund, "Bridging statistical network analysis and spatial econometrics: A simulation study". (under revise and resubmit)
Working paper: arXiv:1903.08648 [PDF].
Presented at the Annual Convention of the International Studies Association, San Francisco, April 4-7, 2018 / Workshop "Modeling Spatial and Network Interdependence in International Relations", University of St Gallen, December 7–8, 2018.
Johan A. Elkink, Thomas Grund and Dakota Strode, "The international diffusion of same-sex marriage: A network analysis".
Yao Han, Johan A. Elkink and Lan Xue, "Initiation and Reciprocation of Sanctions and Militarized Interstate Disputes - More Dependent, More Aggressive?" (under review)
Wuu Kuang Soh, Charilaos Yiotis, Michelle Murray, Johan A. Elkink, Sarah Pene, Alivereti Naikatini, Joseph D. White, Marika Tuiwawa and Jennifer C. McElwain, "Long-term Leaf Physiological Responses to Climate Change of Five Tropical Tree Species". (under review)

Democracy and autocracy

Publications

Alexander Baturo and Johan A. Elkink (2017), "On the importance of personal sources of power: Comparative perspectives and research agenda", French Politics, 15(4), 505-525. [article]
Alexander Baturo and Johan A. Elkink (2016), "Dynamics of regime personalization and patron–client networks in Russia, 1999–2014", Post-Soviet Affairs, 32(1), 75-98. [article]
Alexander Baturo and Johan A. Elkink (2014), "Office or officeholder? Regime deinstitutionalisation and sources of individual political influence", Journal of Politics, 76(3), 859-872. [article] [replication data]
Johan A. Elkink (2011), "The international diffusion of democracy", Comparative Political Studies, 44(12), 1651-1674. [article]

Dissertation

Johan A. Elkink (2009), An attitude diffusion model of the international clustering of political regimes, PhD dissertation, Trinity College Dublin [Lulu] [library] [code]

Working papers

Alexander Baturo and Johan A. Elkink, The New Kremlinology: Understanding Regime Personalisation in Russia. (book manuscript) (under review)
Alexander Baturo and Johan A. Elkink, "Do democracies select more experienced leaders? A latent-variable measurement approach to political experience". (under revise and resubmit)
Presented at the General Conference of the European Consortium for Political Research, Hamburg, August 22-25, 2018.
Alexander Dukalskis, Johan A. Elkink and Hang Xiong, "Simulating defection from autocracy: The case of North Korea".
Poster presented at the Social Simulation Conference, Rome, September 19-23, 2016 / paper at the International Conference of the International Studies Association, Hong Kong, June 15-17, 2017 / School of Politics and International Relations seminar series, University College Dublin, September 12, 2017 / Social Science Simulation Conference, Dublin, September 25-29, 2017.
Johan A. Elkink, "Spatial, temporal and spatio-temporal clustering of democracy"
Presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Chicago, August 29-September 1, 2013 [paper]
Anusha De and Johan A. Elkink, "Are remittances more effective in democracies? An empirical analysis"
Johan A. Elkink, "Democratic and economic diffusion"
Presented at the Joint Sessions of Workshops, ECPR, Edinbourgh, 2003 [PDF]
Johan A. Elkink, "Differences in democratic sentiment in Russia's regions explained"
Presented at the Joint Sessions of Workshops, ECPR, Grenoble, 2001 [PDF]

Electoral behaviour

Publications

Johan A. Elkink, David M. Farrell, Sofie Marien, Theresa Reidy, and Jane Suiter (2020), "The Death of Conservative Ireland? The 2018 Abortion Referendum", Electoral Studies, 20. [article]
Earlier version: UCD Geary Working Paper WP2019/11 [PDF]. Presented at the Political Science Association of Ireland Annual Conference, Limerick, October 12-14, 2018.
Johan A. Elkink, Stephen Quinlan and Richard Sinnott (2019), "Economic Voting in EU Referendums: Sociotropic versus Egocentric Voting in the Lisbon Treaty Plebiscites in Ireland", Politics and Governance, 7(2). [article]
Earlier version: Dublin European Institute working paper 11-4 [PDF]
Kevin Cunningham and Johan A. Elkink (2018), "Ideological Dimensions in the 2016 Elections", in: David M. Farrell, Theresa Reidy and Michael Marsh (eds.), The Post-Crisis Irish Voter. Manchester: Manchester University Press.
Johan A. Elkink, David M. Farrell, Theresa Reidy and Jane Suiter (2016), "Understanding the 2015 marriage referendum in Ireland: Context, campaign, and conservative Ireland", Irish Political Studies, 32(3), 361-381. [article]
Earlier version: UCD Geary Working Paper WP2012/21 [PDF]
Cees van der Eijk and Johan A. Elkink (2016), "How generational replacement undermined the electoral resilience of Fianna Fáil and facilitated its 2011 electoral meltdown", in: Michael Marsh, David Farrell and Gail McElroy (eds.), A conservative revolution? Electoral change in 21st century Ireland, Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Earlier version presented at Politicologenetmaal, Maastricht, June 11-12, 2014.
Johan A. Elkink and David M. Farrell (eds.) (2016), The Act of Voting: Identities, Institutions and Locale. London: Routledge.
Including introduction "The Act of Voting: Identities, Institutions and Locale" and conclusion "The Act of Voting in Context" (with David M. Farrell and Richard Sinnott).
Johan A. Elkink and Richard Sinnott (2015), "Political knowledge and campaign effects in the Irish vote on the Lisbon Treaty", Electoral Studies, 38, 217-225, [article]
Previously presented at the 1st Annual General Conference of the European Political Science Association, Dublin, 2014, June 16-18
Joop van Holsteyn, Ruud Koole and Johan A. Elkink (2002), "Marginaal of midden in de maatschappij? Leden van CDA, D66, PvdA en VVD en hun activiteiten in de samenleving", Beleid en Maatschappij, 29(2), 67-80.

Reports

Richard Sinnott, Johan A. Elkink and James McBride (2012), Flash Eurobarometer 353: Post-referendum survey in Ireland, report prepared for the European Parliament
Richard Sinnott and Johan A. Elkink (2010), Attitudes and behaviour in the second referendum on the Treaty of Lisbon, report prepared for the Department of Foreign Affairs [PDF]
Richard Sinnott, Johan A. Elkink, Kevin O’Rourke and James McBride (2009), Attitudes and behaviour in the referendum on the Treaty of Lisbon, report prepared for the Department of Foreign Affairs [PDF]
Ruud Koole, Joop van Holsteyn and Johan A. Elkink (2000), Rekrutering en representatie in een representatief bestel. Bevindingen van een empirisch onderzoek onder leden en kiezers van CDA, D66, PvdA en VVD, report prepared for the Department of Interior and Kingdom Relations, The Netherlands.

Working papers

Johan A. Elkink and Aidan Regan, "Electoral competition, labour market change and the renaissance of class voting: The cases of Ireland and the Netherlands".
Presented at the General Conference of the European Consortium for Political Research, Wroclaw, September 4-7, 2019 / Political Science Association of Ireland Annual Conference, Limerick, October 12-14, 2018.
Mary Brennan and Johan A. Elkink, "Progress or tokenism? Female candidate selection by parties in local elections under an informal quota regime". (under review)
Presented at the Political Science Association of Ireland Annual Conference, Cork, October 16-18, 2015.
Martin Okolikj and Johan A. Elkink, "Comparing with which neighbours? A test of economic benchmark voting".
Prepared for the Elections, Public Opinion and Parties Conference, September 9-11, 2016, Kent.
Johan A. Elkink, "Who are those shy no voters?"
Presented at the Political Science Association of Ireland Annual Conference, Cork, October 16-18, 2015.
Johan A. Elkink, Sarah Parlane and Thomas Sattler, "When one side stays home: A joint model of turnout and vote choice in referendums". (under review)
Presented at the 6th Pan-European Conference on EU Politics, Tampere, September 13-15, 2012 / Annual Conference of the European Political Science Association, Barcelona, June 20-22, 2013 / General Conference of the European Consortium for Political Research, Bordeaux, September 4-7, 2013 / General Conference of the European Consortium for Political Research, Oslo, September 6-9, 2017 / Annual Conference of the European Political Science Association, Vienna, June 21-23, 2018.

Supervision of PhD students

Supervisor
Jesper Lindqvist ongoing "Understanding left-right classifications in politics"
Colm Walsh ongoing "Political cynicism, populism and support for democratic reform"
Mary Brennan 2020 "Gender quota and candidate selection procedures"
Yao Han 2017 "Beyond dependence: Trade and conflict"
Martin Okolikj 2017 "Quality of government and incumbents performance: Re-conceptualization of economic voting theory"

Co-supervisor
Luke Field 2020 "Discourse and rhetorical strategy in the campaigns of the 2015 Marriage Referendum"
Kevin Coffey 2015 "Why do states commit to international criminal justice? Support for the International Criminal Court in Sub-Saharan Africa"
Antonio Bubbico 2014 "Topics in local economic development"

Supervisory panel member
James MacCarthy Morrogh ongoing "European foreign and security policy: A post-functionalist model of public opinion in the EU"
Redmond Scales ongoing "Explaining variations in the strength of authoritarian regimes: The impact of foreign aid on subnational support"
Chenlong Wang ongoing "Mechanisms that lead to online community-based production and access of information"
Leticia Barbabela ongoing "Federalist nuances of corruption: How federalism shapes perception of corruption in Brazil"
Gillian Golden ongoing "Building and applying a spatial microsimulation model for policy analysis and resource allocation in the Irish education system"
Tianyang Song 2020 "Explaining Variations in Contents of World Bank Lending Programs for Education"
Travis Tatum 2019 "Don’t weight for me: obesity clustering among adolescents in the UK, Germany, the Netherlands and Sweden"
Zizhen Wang 2018 "Where is the Destination? Modelling the Decision-Making of Chinese Doctoral Students’ Migration upon Graduation"
Enrica Pinca 2018 "The evolution of regional economics. The importance of knowledge networks and spillovers for innovation and growth"
Erin Baumann 2013 "Between politics and a hard place: Explaining foreign policy in the post-Soviet space"
Jennifer Jackson 2013 "The social significance of ethnicity in contemporary Northern Ireland and Quebec"
Stephen Quinlan 2012 "Youth electoral participation"
Niall Morris 2012 "Irish foreign policy and its implication for international relations theory"