Johan A. Elkink
research

Spatial econometrics

Publications

Antonio Bubbico, Johan A. Elkink and Martin Okolikj, "Quality of Government and Regional Competition: A Spatial Analysis of Subnational Regions in the European Union", European Journal of Political Research, forthcoming. [article]
Earlier version presented at the 54th Congress of the European Regional Science Association, St Petersburg, 2014.
Samuel Brazys, Johan A. Elkink and Gina Kelly (2017), "Bad neighbors? How co-located Chinese and World Bank development projects impact local corruption in Tanzania", Review of International Organizations, 12:2, 227-253. [article]
Earlier version: AidData Working Paper 26, 2016 [PDF]
Raffaella Calabrese, Johan A. Elkink and Paolo S. Guidici (2017), "Measuring bank contagion in Europe using binary spatial regression models", Journal of the Operational Research Society, forthcoming. [article]
Earlier version: University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management Working Papers 96, 2014. [PDF]
Raffaella Calabrese and Johan A. Elkink (2016), "Estimating binary spatial autoregressive models for rare events", Advances in Econometrics, 37, 147-168. [article]
Earlier version presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Washington DC, August 28-31, 2014 / Asian Political Methodology Conference, Taipei, January 9-10, 2015 [PDF] / Joint Sessions of Workshops, European Consortium of Political Research, Warsaw, March 30-April 2, 2015 / International Federation of Classification Societies Conference, Bologna, July 5-8, 2015.
Raffaella Calabrese and Johan A. Elkink (2014), "Estimators of binary spatial autoregressive models: A Monte Carlo study", Journal of Regional Science, 54(4), 664-687. [article] [appendix]
Earlier version: UCD Geary Working Paper WP2012/15 [PDF]

Democracy and autocracy

Publications

Alexander Baturo and Johan A. Elkink, "On the importance of personal sources of power: Comparative perspectives and research agenda", French Politics, forthcoming.
Alexander Baturo and Johan A. Elkink (2016), "Regime personalization and authoritarian reversal: A study of influence through patron-client networks", Post-Soviet Affairs, 32(1), 75-98. [article]
Alexander Baturo and Johan A. Elkink (2014), "Office or officeholder? Regime deinstitutionalisation and sources of individual political influence", Journal of Politics, 76(3), 859-872. [article] [replication data]
Johan A. Elkink (2011), "The international diffusion of democracy", Comparative Political Studies, 44(12), 1651-1674. [article]

Dissertation

Johan A. Elkink (2009), An attitude diffusion model of the international clustering of political regimes, PhD dissertation, self-published [Lulu] [code]

Working papers

Alexander Baturo and Johan A. Elkink, "What policy topics in the Kremlin's political rhetoric reveal about Russian politics".
Presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Philadelphia, September 1-4, 2016 / Annual General Conference of the European Political Science Association, Brussels, June 23-25, 2016 / Amsterdam Text Analysis Conference, Amsterdam, June 21-22, 2016.
Alexander Dukalskis, Johan A. Elkink and Hang Xiong, "Simulating defection from autocracy: The case of North Korea".
Poster presented at the Social Simulation Conference, Rome, September 19-23, 2016.
Johan A. Elkink, "Spatial, temporal and spatio-temporal clustering of democracy"
Presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Chicago, August 29-September 1, 2013 [paper]
Johan A. Elkink, "Democratic and economic diffusion"
Presented at the Joint Sessions of Workshops, ECPR, Edinbourgh, 2003 [PDF]
Johan A. Elkink, "Differences in democratic sentiment in Russia's regions explained"
Presented at the Joint Sessions of Workshops, ECPR, Grenoble, 2001 [PDF]

Electoral behaviour

Publications

Johan A. Elkink, David M. Farrell, Theresa Reidy and Jane Suiter (2016), "Understanding the 2015 marriage referendum in Ireland: Context, campaign, and conservative Ireland", Irish Political Studies, in print.
Earlier version: UCD Geary Working Paper WP2012/21 [PDF]
Cees van der Eijk and Johan A. Elkink (2016), "How generational replacement undermined the electoral resilience of Fianna Fáil and facilitated its 2011 electoral meltdown", in: Michael Marsh, David Farrell and Gail McElroy, A conservative revolution? Electoral change in 21st century Ireland, Oxford: Oxford University Press, in print.
Earlier version presented at Politicologenetmaal, Maastricht, June 11-12, 2014.
Johan A. Elkink and David M. Farrell (eds.) (2016), The Act of Voting: Identities, Institutions and Locale. London: Routledge.
Johan A. Elkink and Richard Sinnott (2015), "Political knowledge and campaign effects in the Irish vote on the Lisbon Treaty", Electoral Studies, 38, 217-225, [article]
Previously presented at the 1st Annual General Conference of the European Political Science Association, Dublin, 2014, June 16-18
Joop van Holsteyn, Ruud Koole and Johan A. Elkink (2002), "Marginaal of midden in de maatschappij? Leden van CDA, D66, PvdA en VVD en hun activiteiten in de samenleving", Beleid en Maatschappij, 29(2), 67-80.

Reports

Richard Sinnott, Johan A. Elkink and James McBride (2012), Flash Eurobarometer 353: Post-referendum survey in Ireland, report prepared for the European Parliament
Richard Sinnott and Johan A. Elkink (2010), Attitudes and behaviour in the second referendum on the Treaty of Lisbon, report prepared for the Department of Foreign Affairs [PDF] [press release]
Richard Sinnott, Johan A. Elkink, Kevin O’Rourke and James McBride (2009), Attitudes and behaviour in the referendum on the Treaty of Lisbon, report prepared for the Department of Foreign Affairs [PDF] [press release]
Ruud Koole, Joop van Holsteyn and Johan A. Elkink (2000), Rekrutering en representatie in een representatief bestel. Bevindingen van een empirisch onderzoek onder leden en kiezers van CDA, D66, PvdA en VVD, report prepared for the Department of Interior and Kingdom Relations, The Netherlands.

Working papers

Mary Brennan and Johan A. Elkink, "Progress or tokenism? Female candidate selection by parties in local elections under an informal quota regime".
Presented at the Political Science Association of Ireland Annual Conference, Cork, October 16-18, 2015.
Martin Okolikj and Johan A. Elkink, "Comparing with which neighbours? A test of economic benchmark voting".
Prepared for the Elections, Public Opinion and Parties Conference, September 9-11, 2016, Kent.
Johan A. Elkink, "Who are those shy no voters?".
Presented at the Political Science Association of Ireland Annual Conference, Cork, October 16-18, 2015.
Johan A. Elkink, Stephen Quinlan and Richard Sinnott, "The economy and EU referendums: Sociotropic versus pocketbook voting in the 2009 Lisbon Treaty referendum in Ireland", under revise and resubmit.
Earlier version: Dublin European Institute working paper 11-4 [PDF]
Johan A. Elkink, Sarah Parlane and Thomas Sattler, "When one side stays home: A joint model of turnout and vote choice in referendums".
Presented at the 6th Pan-European Conference on EU Politics, Tampere, September 13-15, 2012.

Supervision of PhD students

Supervisor
Colm Walsh ongoing "Political cynicism, populism and support for democratic reform"
Tony Casey ongoing "Network models of regulatory governance"
Mary Brennan ongoing "Gender quota and candidate selection procedures"
Yao Han 2017 "Beyond dependence: Trade and conflict"
Martin Okolikj 2017 "Quality of government and incumbents performance: Re-conceptualization of economic voting theory"
Co-supervisor
Shane Conneely ongoing "Understanding irrational political behaviour"
Luke Field ongoing "Discourse and rhetorical strategy in the campaigns of the 2015 Marriage Referendum"
Kevin Coffey 2015 "Why do states commit to international criminal justice? Support for the International Criminal Court in Sub-Saharan Africa"
Antonio Bubbico 2014 "Topics in local economic development"
Supervisory panel member
Samuel Almeida ongoing "Muzzling the guard-dogs: Security sector reform and transitional justice in Brazil"
Tianyang Song ongoing "Explaining Variations in Contents of World Bank Lending Programs for Education"
Travis Tatum ongoing "Don’t weight for me: obesity clustering among adolescents in the UK, Germany, the Netherlands and Sweden"
Zizhen Wang ongoing "Where is the Destination? Modelling the Decision-Making of Chinese Doctoral Students’ Migration upon Graduation"
Enrica Pinca ongoing "The evolution of regional economics. The importance of knowledge networks and spillovers for innovation and growth"
Gillian Golden ongoing "Building and applying a spatial microsimulation model for policy analysis and resource allocation in the Irish education system"
Erin Baumann 2013 "Between politics and a hard place: Explaining foreign policy in the post-Soviet space"
Jennifer Jackson 2013 "The social significance of ethnicity in contemporary Northern Ireland and Quebec"
Stephen Quinlan 2012 "Youth electoral participation"
Niall Morris 2012 "Irish foreign policy and its implication for international relations theory"